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* the whole existing methods review
* trendingBot theoretical base
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go numerics in the easiest way
our principles
- ACCURACY
- simpler = better
- if possible, nicer
our policy
- combinatorics better than simplifying statistics
contents
- ___
- 1- trad. statistics
- > intro
- > trend finding
- - a] regressions
- + b] forecasting
- ----- time series
- ----- extrapolations
- ----- PLS regression
- ----- p. components
- ----- (probability)
- ___
- 2- new theory
- ___
- 3- case studies
- > beauty contest
- > clothes shop
- > anatomical analysis
- > new product release
- ___
- _________
trendingBot
- 1. feed it -raw data-
- 2. let it run
- 3. equation or "trend not found"
NEW IDEAS
- any situation = multiple behaviours
- any behaviour = mathematically describable
- error in predictions = wrong variable selection
- user intervention = wrong model delimitation
- _________
trad. statistics
- lots of user-defined parameters
- lots of simplifications
- lots of assumptions
- complex methods
- not to-the-point solutions
- "cannot" has no meaning
doe
- same as statistics
- max/min = too simplified
- determine how measurements have to be performed